A collection of videos featuring individuals working within the artificial intelligence industry has amplified recent 'doom' narratives regarding the technology's future.
Geoffrey Irving, a former employee of both OpenAI and Google DeepMind, asserted in a new interview that there is a roughly fifty-fifty chance of human extinction. This is part of a dozen interviews featuring researchers from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, compiled by the non-profit Palisade Research and hosted on frominside.ai.
Multiple researchers, including Neel Nanda of Google DeepMind, joined Irving in sounding the alarm about the potential for AI to drive humanity to extinction. Nanda stated there is "at least a 10 percent chance that it causes human extinction, and that is ridiculously high." While these discussions highlight the severity of the risks, they also reflect the ambiguity within the "AI safety" community regarding how to address these existential threats.
Former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajilo compared superintelligent AI to a "god-like powerful" force, noting that humans lack the ability to control such systems. He emphasized, "unfortunately we don’t know how to control them at all. And so probably nobody would control them. This is exactly as dangerous as it sounds and must not be allowed to happen."
The full interviews are available on the platform, though it also curates segments focusing on skeptical perspectives regarding whether these risks are overblown marketing. Participants, such as Google's Mary Phuong, have addressed their employment status openly. Phuong noted, "I think you absolutely should be suspicious of what I’m saying because I am being paid by the lab," while Nanda defended his career choice, explaining, "If I did not believe that my work was directly reducing these existential risks, I would quit… These companies are not going to stop making these systems just because I quit."
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